M4A1-S | Nightmare
Prices as of · Steam Community Market 7-day median · how it's calculated
The M4A1-S Nightmare is a Classified M4A1-S skin from The Horizon Collection, first released in 2018. On the Steam Community Market the M4A1-S Nightmare sells from $8.61 in Battle-Scarred to $446.00 in Factory New. That ranks it 25th of 45 priced M4A1-S skins, between the M4A1-S Leaded Glass ($13.49) and the M4A1-S Party Animal ($11.54).
M4A1-S | Nightmare price by wear
| Wear | Chance when unboxed | Price | StatTrak™ price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 3.0% | $446.00 | $171.96 |
| Minimal Wear | 24% | $34.05 | $76.31 |
| Field-Tested | 33% | $12.92 | $33.30 |
| Well-Worn | 24% | $8.99 | $25.98 |
| Battle-Scarred | 16% | $8.61 | $25.74 |
The M4A1-S Nightmare has a float of 0.00 to 1.00: Factory New is 3.0% of unboxings, Battle-Scarred 16%. A Factory New copy costs 51.8 times a Battle-Scarred one.
A StatTrak™ M4A1-S Nightmare, one case drop in ten, costs 2.58 times the plain one at the same wear, about $33.30.
Cases that drop the M4A1-S | Nightmare
| Container | Cost per opening | Chance per opening | Average cost to unbox |
|---|---|---|---|
| Horizon Case | $5.06 | 1.067% (1 in 94) | $474.38 |
Only the Horizon Case (2018) drops the M4A1-S Nightmare. In it, Classified skins come out 3.2% of the time and the M4A1-S Nightmare is one of 3, so each opening has a 1.067% chance of it (1 in 94). At $5.06 an opening with the key, one M4A1-S Nightmare costs $474.38 to unbox on average, 36.7 times its $12.92 market price: buying it is cheaper.
Next to the M4A1-S Nightmare, the Horizon Case holds 2 Classified skins: FAMAS Eye of Athena ($6.77) and Sawed-Off Devourer ($6.65). The M4A1-S Nightmare is the most valuable of them.
Classified skins in the Horizon Case
- FAMAS | Eye of Athena $6.77
- Sawed-Off | Devourer $6.65
M4A1-S | Nightmare FAQ
- How much is the M4A1-S Nightmare?
- From $8.61 (Battle-Scarred) to $446.00 (Factory New) on the Steam Community Market.
- Which case drops the M4A1-S Nightmare?
- Only the Horizon Case, at 1.067% per opening.
- What are the odds of unboxing the M4A1-S Nightmare?
- 1.067% per opening of the Horizon Case, 1 in 94: its Classified tier drops 3.2% of the time, shared by 3 skins.
- What is the float range of the M4A1-S Nightmare?
- 0.00 to 1.00, which covers Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred.
- Is there a StatTrak™ M4A1-S Nightmare?
- Yes: one in ten drops from a case is StatTrak™.
Other M4A1-S skins
- M4A1-S | Leaded Glass $13.49
- M4A1-S | Party Animal $11.54
- M4A1-S | Basilisk $10.62
- M4A1-S | Decimator $17.26
- M4A1-S | Flashback $6.48
- M4A1-S | Blood Tiger $6.43
- M4A1-S | Stratosphere $6.18
- M4A1-S | Briefing $6.15
All 46 M4A1-S skins by price · The Horizon Collection
Wear chances follow the community-measured float draw (wear weights mapped onto the skin's range) and odds follow the methodology; prices come from the sources page.