Horizon Case Knife Pool: which cases drop these
Prices as of · Steam Community Market 7-day median · how it's calculated
The Horizon Case knife pool is the set of 52 rare items shared by 2 containers: Horizon Case and Danger Zone Case. Opening any of them gives the same chance at the same knives: Navaja Knife, Stiletto Knife, Talon Knife and Ursus Knife. The pool first appeared in 2018 with the Horizon Case.
Cases in this pool
| Case | Released | Cost per opening | Chance of any item | Average cost per item |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horizon Case | 2018-06-07 | $5.06 | 0.26% (1 in 385) | $1,946.15 |
| Danger Zone Case | 2018-11-29 | $4.46 | 0.26% (1 in 385) | $1,715.38 |
A knife drops 0.26% of the time from the Danger Zone Case, or 1 in 385 openings. The Navaja Knife holds the largest share of the pool, 25%, so it comes out 1 in 1,538 openings. At $4.46 per opening, the Danger Zone Case is the cheapest way to get an item from this pool, at an average of $1,715.38 per knife.
Weighted by its odds, an item from this pool is worth about $241.25 on the Steam Community Market. The most valuable is ★ Talon Knife | Fade at $1,249.92 and the cheapest ★ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked at $20.67.
Knife types in this pool
- Navaja Knife — 25% of the pool, 0.065% per opening (1 in 1,538)
- Stiletto Knife — 25% of the pool, 0.065% per opening (1 in 1,538)
- Talon Knife — 25% of the pool, 0.065% per opening (1 in 1,538)
- Ursus Knife — 25% of the pool, 0.065% per opening (1 in 1,538)
Odds per finish
| Item | Chance per opening | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Navaja Knife | Fade | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $163.39 |
| Navaja Knife | Case Hardened | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $115.20 |
| Navaja Knife | Slaughter | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $106.69 |
| Navaja Knife | Crimson Web | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $87.15 |
| Navaja Knife | Blue Steel | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $73.25 |
| Navaja Knife | Stained | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $60.59 |
| Navaja Knife | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $58.76 |
| Navaja Knife | Urban Masked | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $58.22 |
| Navaja Knife | Night Stripe | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $57.43 |
| Navaja Knife | Scorched | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $55.72 |
| Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $53.69 |
| Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $53.25 |
| Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $53.06 |
| Stiletto Knife | Fade | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $562.44 |
| Stiletto Knife | Slaughter | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $487.84 |
| Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $348.19 |
| Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $343.46 |
| Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $290.37 |
| Stiletto Knife | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $278.29 |
| Stiletto Knife | Stained | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $254.18 |
| Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $201.19 |
| Stiletto Knife | Scorched | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $198.70 |
| Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $178.24 |
| Stiletto Knife | Boreal Forest | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $169.62 |
| Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $164.73 |
| Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $20.67 |
| Talon Knife | Fade | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $1,249.92 |
| Talon Knife | Slaughter | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $701.15 |
| Talon Knife | Blue Steel | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $568.97 |
| Talon Knife | Crimson Web | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $505.83 |
| Talon Knife | Case Hardened | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $477.35 |
| Talon Knife | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $472.97 |
| Talon Knife | Stained | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $395.74 |
| Talon Knife | Night Stripe | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $332.75 |
| Talon Knife | Scorched | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $327.38 |
| Talon Knife | Urban Masked | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $309.41 |
| Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $292.17 |
| Talon Knife | Boreal Forest | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $279.74 |
| Talon Knife | Safari Mesh | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $272.05 |
| Ursus Knife | Fade | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $432.92 |
| Ursus Knife | Slaughter | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $216.84 |
| Ursus Knife | Crimson Web | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $175.03 |
| Ursus Knife | Case Hardened | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $147.70 |
| Ursus Knife | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $138.23 |
| Ursus Knife | Blue Steel | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $124.21 |
| Ursus Knife | Stained | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $109.12 |
| Ursus Knife | Urban Masked | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $99.87 |
| Ursus Knife | Night Stripe | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $97.53 |
| Ursus Knife | Scorched | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $87.63 |
| Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $81.35 |
| Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $78.88 |
| Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh | 0.005% (1 in 20,000) | $75.91 |
Chances use the Horizon Case's rate; see the methodology. All pools: knife pools, knives, gloves.