Shadow Case

About the Shadow Case

The Shadow Case is a weapon case in Counter-Strike 2 released on September 15, 2015. It contains 29 unique items across 16 regular skins and 13 rare special items (knives or gloves). The chance of unboxing a rare special item (knife or gloves) is approximately 0.26%, or roughly 1 in 385 openings.

The Shadow Case currently costs $2.78 on the Steam Community Market. With a key priced at $2.49, each opening costs approximately $5.27 in total.

Shadow Case Expected Value

Based on current Steam Market prices and Valve-confirmed drop rates, the expected value of opening the Shadow Case is approximately $0.27 per opening.

With an opening cost of $5.27 (case + key), you get back an average of 5% of your investment. On average, you lose $5.00 per opening — this is why a free simulator is the smart way to experience case openings.

Most Valuable Skins in the Shadow Case

Here are the most expensive items you can unbox from the Shadow Case, based on current Steam Market prices:

1. ★ Shadow Daggers | Fade — $323.17(Covert)
2. ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened — $140.10(Covert)
3. ★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter — $134.82(Covert)
4. ★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web — $97.09(Covert)
5. USP-S | Kill Confirmed — $94.15(Covert)

Shadow Case Drop Rates

The Shadow Caseuses Valve's standard weapon case drop rates. Each rarity tier is approximately 5x rarer than the previous one, starting at 79.92% for Mil-Spec (Blue) and dropping to just 0.26% for knives and gloves. Any applicable skin also has a 10% chance of being StatTrak™, which significantly increases its market value.

Similar Weapon Cases

If you enjoy the Shadow Case, try these related weapon cases:

• Revolver Case — 82 items, $4.09 on market
• Operation Wildfire Case — 29 items, $6.06 on market
• Chroma 2 Case — 75 items, $6.08 on market
• Falchion Case — 29 items, $2.76 on market
• Chroma 3 Case — 77 items, $5.02 on market